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Implied Odds

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Implied OddsImplied odds are an extension of pot odds that help you decide whether or not a drawing hand is worth calling in the face of a raise. Essentially, the implied odds of a hand tell you how much you expect to win after you make your draw. Therefore if you expect to win a lot more money from your opponent after you make your draw, you have good implied odds. Conversely if you anticipate that you will not be able to get any more money out of your opponent on future rounds, then you have little or no implied odds.

Unlike in pot odds, there are no simple mathematical rules or formulas to determine what your implied odds are. Implied odds are obtained by having a good knowledge of your opponent and the situation. For this reason it is easier to determine the nature of your implied odds if you have been playing the game for some time.

The more you play, the more situations you will encounter and eventually it will be easier to obtain an accurate estimation of your implied odds. However, if you are quite new to the game and this is the first time you have come across implied odds, there are two situations below to illustrate both when you have good implied odds, and when you have little or no implied odds.

 

Good implied odds situation

You

7d 6s

Flop

Kh5s 8c

In this hand you have an open ended straight draw. If your opponent bets into you, then you have good implied odds because if you make your straight, it is likely that you will be able to extract more money from your opponent on later rounds of betting. This is because your opponent will not easily be able to estimate the strength of your hand.

 

Poor implied odds situation

You

Kc 4s

Flop

Qh Jd Ts

Once again you have an open ended straight draw. However your implied odds are far worse in this situation because if you do make your straight when the Ace or 9 comes, the board will be very scary to your opponent as the board could easily make somebody the straight. There is little chance that you will get much more money out of your opponents unless they have the straight also.

From the situations above you should learn that the more disguised you hand is, the greater implied odds you have.

 

So how do implied odds affect my game?
The great thing about implied odds is that they have a knock on effect against your pot odds. If you anticipate you will win more money from your opponent on later rounds of betting, you can afford to make calls when your opponent is not giving you the correct pot odds to call.

For example, if you have the nut straight draw the odds that you will complete the draw on the next card are roughly 5 to 1. If your opponent bets $25 making the pot $100, he is giving you 4 to 1 odds to call. Now if we to base our decision purely on pot odds then we should not make the call. However, if we believe that we have good implied odds, the call becomes justifiable. This is because we will be making more money when we make our draw, than if we folded.

The fundamental rules of implied odds to remember are:

  • If you have good implied odds, you can afford to call without correct pot odds.
  • If you have little or no implied odds, you should stick to the pot odds.

 

Evaluation
Implied odds are useful for deciding whether to call a bet after you have calculated the pot odds. If you do not have the correct odds to call a bet and make your draw, then a call is justifiable if you have good implied odds. However you should stick to the pot odds if you anticipate that you have little or no implied odds. It should be noted that you have no implied odds if your opponent is all-in, because there will be no betting on further rounds if nobody else in the pot. Be sure to be careful when calling large raises, as the implied odds that you are getting may not cover the amount you have to call in order to make your draw. The best way to obtain a greater understanding of your pot odds is simply to play more poker.

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