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Holdem Match-Up Odds

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The table below shows the odds of each hand winning in typical all-in match ups in Texas Holdem. The percentage chance of winning assumes that both players are all-in and that all 5 community cards will be dealt to determine a winner. The table also assumes that there are no other players in the hand, although the results should be very similar. The table can be used to estimate your chances of winning in common all-in situations, however, the table does not highight the exact probabilities for the certain match-ups in general. For example: in the Pair v Overpair match-up, 2c2d would be a 53% favourite against AhKs instead of being a slightly stronger favourite like TcTd with a 57% chance of winning. The is due to other factors such as the increased probabiltiy that two overpairs will appear on the board creating a higher two-pair with a better kicker for the player holding AhKs.
 

Typical Match-Up

Hand 1

Hand 2

Under Pair v Overcards TcTd 57% 43% AhKs
Overpair v Pair KdKs 80% 20% 9c9h
2 Overcards v 2 Undercards AdQh 63% 37% 5c7s
Dominated Hand AcJd 71% 29% JhTs
Very Dominated Hand QhQc 89% 11% QdJs
Pair v 1 Overcard 8c8h 69% 31% As5d
1 Overcard v 2 Middle Cards Js4d 57% 43% 6c8h

As you can see from the table, some of the match-ups are closer than you might expect them to be. For example, if you have another player dominated with a hand like AcJd against JhTs, your opponent will win the pot 1 time in 4. Therefore you should be careful not to become overly excited when cards like these are turned over in an all-in situation, because your opponent still has a fair chance of winning after all 5 community cards are dealt.

Another interesting all-in match up is the very common AK versus an under pair. The table shows that although the odds are fairly even, the under-pair will usually have the slight advantage. This means that it is always better to be pushing all-in rather than calling an all-in with AK if neccesary, because to call with AK against an under pair is a losing play in the long run. By pushing all-in with AK you give your opponent the opportunity to fold for fear of an overpair, which will improve your expectation in the long run.

To test other all-in match ups, use our Texas Holdem Odds Calculator.

<Odds Charts

 
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